Real Madrid, UEFA, Champions League, Match Fixing

Kumina

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SUMMARY: UEFA has constantly fed referee crews from countries with a high degree of corruption into important Real Madrid CL knockout stage games. These referees and linesmen, mostly from low level Eastern European leagues, have cheated on behalf of Real Madrid for nearly a decade.
  1. Real Madrid is in financial trouble. The costs of the stadium renovation are spiraling out of control (€1.76bn and counting instead of €550m planned). Higher interest rates have made Real’s debt (€1.6bn) unsustainable. Real can not afford to be knocked out of the Champions League early.
  2. UEFA assigns referee crews from countries with a high probability of corruption to important Real Madrid knockout stage games. Most commonly used are referee crews from Eastern Europe, followed by Italy. Scandinavian referee teams have not been assigned.
  3. For no good reason the referee crews are assigned weeks in advance by UEFA. This leaves enough time for Real to contact, influence and bribe referee crews.
  4. Due to the nature of the soccer game (few big moments decide games) and the vague and clumsy rulebook the impact of the referee crew is huge. Offside in particular is a complete mess: The Linesman might or might not wave the flag, the Referee might or might not stop play, the VaR might or might not overrule.
  5. The last 4 knockout stage duels featuring Real Madrid and German Teams (3x Bayern, 1x Leipzig) have all been manipulated. „Offside“ has been the main tool.
  6. The Linesmen situation is incomprehensible. They are not well known and not well paid. It is not even easy to figure out which side of the field they operated on. Yet these Linesmen, who in some cases may earn €50 a game working in their low level home league, regularly have been the difference maker with €50m or more on the line in early stage knockout games. Linesmen have misused their huge impact to swing at least 5 goals towards Real Madrid in the 4 duels mentioned above (Lewandowski 2017, 2x Ronaldo 2017, Sesko 2024, De Ligt 2024). The probability of these events (skewed referee crew assignments, mistakes and rule violations in games) occuring randomly over the course of a decade is zero.
  7. There is no UEFA mechanism to systematically and transparently analyze referee crew decisions after the game. Compare all that to the NBA: Even though the impact of the referee team is multiple times lower than in soccer, the NBA doesn‘t post referee teams until gameday and issues a report to analyze critical decisions afterwards.
UEFA Assignments of referee crews to Real Madrid CL Knockout stage games (2015-2024, 51 games)

20 x Eastern Europe
10 x Italy
0 x Scandinavia

Ranking of Champions League Countries using the Corruption Index

Tier 1: Scandinavia (Denmark, Finland, Sweden, Norway)
Tier 2: Switzerland, Netherlands, Germany
Tier 3: Belgium, France, UK

Tier 4: Portugal, Spain, Italy
Tier 5: Slovenia, Poland, Slovakia
Tier 6: Hungary, Bosnia, Serbia, Turkey

UEFA Referee Committee


The extreme skew in assigning referee crews to games starts with the UEFA Referee Committee itself: The Chair is from Italy (Roberto Rosetti), 3 of the 4 Officers are from Spain (Carlos Carballo) and Eastern Europe (Dagmar Damkova, Czechia and Vladimir Sajn, a loanshark from Slovenia).

The husband of one of its officers, Damkova, is Roman Berbr. In 2023 Berbr was charged with soccer match fixing and embezzlement, being the ring leader of an Eastern European Gang. Both Damkova and Berbr have lost their jobs within the Czech Soccer Federation years ago. Too corrupt for Czechia, and therefore just perfect for UEFA.


important Real Madrid CL Games / Eastern European Linesmen:

2016 Round of 16 AS Roma - Real Madrid

Linesmen: Slysko, Wilczek Referee: Kralovec (Czechia)

2017 Quarter-Final Real Madrid – Bayern München
Linesmen: Ring, Toth Referee: Kassai (Hungary)

2018 Semifinal Real Madrid – Bayern München
Linesmen: Duran, Ongun Referee: Cakir (Turkey)

2018 Final Real Madrid – Liverpool FC
Linesmen: Ristic, Durdevic Referee: Mazic (Serbia)

2024 Round of 16 RB Leipzig – Real Madrid
Linesmen: Ibrisimbegovic, Beljo Referee: Peljto (Bosnia)

2024 Semifinal Real Madrid – Bayern München
Linesmen: Listkiewicz, Kupsik Referee: Marciniak (Poland)
 
ANALYSIS OF THE LAST 50 REAL MADRID KNOCKOUT STAGE GAMES:

The impact from all referee, linesman and VaR 'mistakes' and rule violations on both sides over its last 50 knockout stage games has been worth a
net 20 goals for Real Madrid.
Mistakes and rule violations have made the difference in a net 8 of the 23 knockout stage duels Real Madrid „won“ from 2015-2024.
With fair and proper refereeing, Real Madrid would not have won at least 2 of the CL titles
awarded by UEFA over that time period.
Financially, the Linesmen and Referees have swung close to 200 Million €uro towards Real.

'Best' of Real Madrid Cheating


2017 Real - Bayern 1-2 (4-2 aET) Lewandowski (Bayern) was whistled back incorrectly for offside all alone in front of goal. Ronaldo (Real) scored from an offside position after using his arm to stop the ball (2-2), and later added another offside goal (3-2). Bayern played extra time short-handed after Vidal got a Red Card playing the ball.

2024 Real - Bayern 2-1 A Linesman prematurely and incorrectly signalled offside just before De Ligt (Bayern) scored (2-2), with the referee being complicit by immediately blowing his whistle. They had practiced this maneuver on Davies (Bayern). A few minutes earlier, in a similar situation on the other side, the referee crew let play continue to allow Joselu (Real) to score.

Red Cards (2015-2024)

Teams playing Real Madrid: 8 Real Madrid players: 2

Vázquez (2016 v ManCity), Ramos (2016 v Atlético), Casemiro (2017 v Bayern), Ramos (2018 v Liverpool) should all have been sent off in critical moments of close knockout games.

Probability:

Say you had to assign a referee 30 times in a row, and chose Eastern European/Italians (countries from the bottom of the corruption ranking) with a probability of 70%, and Scandinavian referees from the top 30%. There is a probability of 0,002% to get to the 30-0 distribution that actually happened. That’s the first zero.

Then these referees messed up the games big time, with the net effect in every single critical instance favoring Real. At least 8 times these violations made the difference for Real, and zero times for the other team. A sequence like that has a probability of 0,4%. That‘s the next zero. And you basically have to multiply these 2 zeros to get to the probability of this chain of events.

You could also look at red cards. Real got 2 over these 50 games, but both didn’t matter as the games were already decided. We identified at least 4 no-doubter red cards Real should have gotten in crucial moments, with some ‚maybe’s“ (like Vinicius 2024) on top. Red cards another zero.

Taken together, the rule violations and mistakes had a net worth of 20 goals for Real. It should be zero, if referees are fair and unbiased. 20 goals is enourmos. Thats 0.4 goals per game, which is basically the expected goal value Leroy Sane produces. And as in some games nothing (needed) to happen, in other critical games the referees/linesmen impacted the game like a Lionel Messi playing as a 12th man for Real Madrid. None of this is possible by chance. It’s cheating, proven by data basically 3 times over.

FELIX ZWAYER: But it doesn't stop with the Eastern European or Italian referee crews: Out of Germany, Felix Zwayer got appointed. Zwayer isn't even close to being a good referee. More importantly, Felix Zwayer is a convicted soccer match-fixer. He worked as a linesman for Robert Hoyzer, took money to cheat, and thus was part of the Match Fixing Scandal 2004/05 with Ante Sapina as the main figure. This has been proven in a court, and Felix Zwayer got suspended back then.

More recently, in 2018, Felix Zwayer founded a company called "Pajuna Invest". It is registered at the same Berlin address as a Real Estate Laundry ("1 Berlin X") Zwayer also has ties to.

"Pajuna Invest" has no employees and does no real business. Felix Zwayer is the only officer of this company. Its a classic "Briefkastenfirma". In 2020, "Pajuna Invest" received €500.000 from outside and reported it as earnings. The source of this money is both not declared, and absolutely obvious: Felix Zwayer got paid for doing his job as part of the UEFA/Real Madrid match fixing mafia.


VaR: Video replay has become one of the most effective tools to manipulate games. UEFA has stuffed the VaR Room with an ever expanding lineup of its cheaters. Just recently they added the position of "VaR Support" alongside the main VaR referee and the Var Assitant. This "VaR support" is largely anonymous, as he rarely ever gets mentioned in game recaps.

UEFA's go-to-guy for the VaR room is Massimiliano Irrati (Italy): Irrati was in the Video room both for the Champions League Final 2024 and the EURO24 final......

To wrap it up, the FIFA Referee Committee has to be included. The referee crews that UEFA can choose have to be on each countries list of FIFA eligible referees first. The FIFA Referee Committee has a composition that's just as ridiculous as the one of the UEFA Referee Committee: The chair is again from Italy (Collina). Rosetti, the Italian Chair of the UEFA Committee, is in it as well. There is even a third Italian: Rizzoli, who represents some caribbean soccer nations. All the Italians in these UEFA/FIFA Committees were active referees during 'Calciopoli' (2004-2006), when Italian Soccer as a whole was found to be corrupted by Match-Fixing. Finally, Damkova, representing her husband Roman Berbr, made it as well again.

So the European representation within the FIFA Referee Committee is 3x Italy plus a Czech Match-Fixer wife. In addition, there are some straw man from Solomon Islands, Ivory Coast, Singapur, Mauritius etc.

In total 8 of 9 Europeans within the UEFA and FIFA Referee Committees are from Italy/Spain or Eastern Europe, and they are all as shady as one would expect after seeing what has happened: 4x Italy (all 'Calciopoli' guys) / 2x Damkova, suspended at home, wife of convicted Match-Fixer Roman Berbr / 1 Slovenian loan shark, who uses former referees and players to collect payments / C. Carballo from Madrid (which makes sense logistically).

It's all one big farce, to make sure Real Madrid and UEFA can continue to cheat.
 
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